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Red91
596818.6
172311.2
198744.3
Blue70
642421.2
193930.2
476621.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697402040601001201401609170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.31.2
40.441.6
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End7.7
red by 14.1
1939
#11
30.20.2
25.725.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End10.9
Second
5968
#16
18.62.0
12.414.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.8
blue by 2.7
21.30.2
22.722.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End5.7
Third
1723
#20
11.21.2
12.313.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
blue by 10.0
6424
#18
21.20.2
20.320.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
63%Cargo oddsEarned51%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsEarned