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Red48
328418.7
235723.8
178516.0
Blue46
512620.4
198744.3
76628.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4666204060801004846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.1
17.617.5
Auto8.1
Teleop7.9
End7.8
blue by 20.5
44.30.9
38.137.2
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End7.7
Second
3284
#14
18.70.1
17.717.5
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End-0.3
blue by 1.6
20.40.9
13.012.1
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End7.9
Third
1785
#17
16.00.1
10.610.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End4.4
red by 7.2
7662
#24
8.81.5
8.46.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed54%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsEarned