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Red34
328418.7
681716.6
54379.7
Blue75
181017.7
642421.2
680517.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506002040801001203475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#14
18.70.9
19.418.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End-0.3
blue by 2.5
6424
#18
21.20.8
20.521.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End5.3
Second
6817
#19
16.61.2
16.215.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
blue by 1.1
1810
#15
17.70.8
17.618.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End6.3
Third
5437
#22
9.71.2
12.511.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 7.9
6805
#10
17.60.8
17.217.9
Auto6.8
Teleop7.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed70%Hangar oddsMissed