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Red91
681716.6
76628.8
198744.3
Blue113
580132.0
445514.7
452243.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions679440608010012014091113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.31.4
44.345.7
Auto14.3
Teleop22.3
End7.7
red by 1.3
43.01.9
43.845.7
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End13.4
Second
6817
#19
16.61.5
15.116.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End3.6
blue by 15.4
32.01.9
28.330.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End13.3
Third
7662
#24
8.81.5
7.18.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End3.7
blue by 5.8
4455
#21
14.72.1
12.414.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned