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Red60
178516.0
181017.7
596818.6
Blue108
318434.1
193930.2
235723.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48952040608012014060108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5968
#16
18.60.1
17.517.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.8
blue by 15.5
34.11.6
33.835.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End13.4
Second
1810
#15
17.70.1
18.418.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.3
End6.3
blue by 12.4
1939
#11
30.21.6
27.929.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.3
End10.9
Third
1785
#17
16.00.1
15.115.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End4.4
blue by 7.8
23.81.6
21.623.3
Auto8.1
Teleop7.9
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned