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Red49
176921.0
495923.2
51419.9
Blue34
180618.8
245710.1
198212.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594320801004934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.1
22.922.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End6.9
red by 4.4
1806
#13
18.80.3
19.319.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End3.6
Second
21.00.1
20.720.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End3.9
red by 8.8
1982
#22
12.20.3
12.712.4
Auto5.9
Teleop1.5
End4.8
Third
5141
#17
9.90.1
9.69.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End4.0
blue by 0.2
10.10.3
10.610.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End4.6