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Red48
171019.5
271818.7
172310.9
Blue24
19849.6
180215.3
184711.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48250204060804824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.2
15.615.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.6
red by 4.2
1802
#15
15.31.2
10.08.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.1
End4.4
Second
2718
#12
18.70.1
15.515.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End5.8
red by 7.0
1847
#25
11.61.2
8.06.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End4.6
Third
1723
#16
10.90.2
11.011.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End4.4
red by 1.3
1984
#19
9.61.2
8.67.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed