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Red34
198212.2
526815.3
198629.5
Blue43
193922.8
178510.6
50988.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53340204060803443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.4
22.420.9
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End7.1
red by 6.7
22.80.6
13.614.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End10.5
Second
5268
#30
15.30.9
12.111.3
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End6.3
red by 4.6
1785
#18
10.60.5
12.312.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Third
1982
#22
12.21.4
12.511.1
Auto5.9
Teleop1.5
End4.8
red by 3.8
5098
#23
8.40.3
8.28.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed