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Red63
271818.7
72552.8
495923.2
Blue41
811211.0
180618.8
9377.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423202060806341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.21.9
15.517.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End6.9
red by 4.4
1806
#13
18.80.7
9.310.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End3.6
Second
2718
#12
18.71.1
15.616.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End5.8
red by 7.7
8112
#21
11.01.1
11.212.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End4.7
Third
7255
#26
2.81.9
6.78.6
Auto0.4
Teleop0.3
End2.0
blue by 5.0
937
#24
7.81.1
10.611.7
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed