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Red25
50988.4
811211.0
271818.7
Blue57
176921.0
68434.3
193922.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3943203050602557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2718
#12
18.70.8
16.815.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End5.8
blue by 4.1
22.81.0
14.415.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End10.5
Second
8112
#21
11.01.3
12.310.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End4.7
blue by 10.0
21.01.0
15.316.3
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End3.9
Third
5098
#23
8.40.8
8.17.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.2
red by 4.1
6843
#28
4.31.0
10.311.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned