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Red50
180215.3
176921.0
811211.0
Blue85
199717.2
182534.9
245710.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4558203040507080901005085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.6
17.317.9
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End3.9
blue by 14.0
34.93.1
31.034.2
Auto11.2
Teleop15.0
End8.8
Second
1802
#15
15.30.6
14.214.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.1
End4.4
blue by 1.8
1997
#11
17.23.1
13.116.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End6.9
Third
8112
#21
11.00.6
12.012.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End4.7
red by 0.9
10.12.2
8.310.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsEarned