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Red32
171019.5
19849.6
9377.8
Blue81
271818.7
199717.2
176921.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385820801003281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.51.3
18.717.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.6
blue by 1.5
21.02.3
17.920.2
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End3.9
Second
1984
#19
9.61.3
10.39.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
blue by 9.0
2718
#12
18.71.7
17.519.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End5.8
Third
937
#24
7.81.3
9.68.3
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End2.9
blue by 9.4
1997
#11
17.22.3
16.218.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned