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Red58
171019.5
198212.2
580126.4
Blue73
495923.2
50988.4
182534.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557140801001205873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.3
24.825.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.1
End9.7
blue by 8.5
34.90.7
35.636.3
Auto11.2
Teleop15.0
End8.8
Second
19.50.3
17.417.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.6
blue by 3.7
23.20.7
21.522.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End6.9
Third
1982
#22
12.20.3
11.912.2
Auto5.9
Teleop1.5
End4.8
red by 3.8
5098
#23
8.40.6
7.68.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsMissed54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsEarned