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Red81
198629.5
182534.9
19849.6
Blue50
235717.6
193922.8
50988.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8648204060801001201408150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.1
35.635.7
Auto11.2
Teleop15.0
End8.8
red by 12.2
22.80.1
23.123.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End10.5
Second
29.50.1
30.230.3
Auto7.5
Teleop14.9
End7.1
red by 11.9
2357
#10
17.60.1
18.017.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End4.0
Third
1984
#19
9.60.1
10.310.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.0
End1.4
red by 1.2
5098
#23
8.40.1
8.78.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.2