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Red128
170643.1
175650.6
49318.7
Blue110
248146.8
414336.5
33977.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11094406080120140160180128110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.5
50.050.6
Auto12.6
Teleop30.2
End7.8
red by 3.8
46.80.4
46.446.8
Auto10.1
Teleop25.5
End11.1
Second
43.10.5
42.643.1
Auto11.4
Teleop25.8
End5.9
red by 6.6
36.50.4
36.136.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.1
End11.6
Third
4931
#26
8.70.5
8.28.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.5
red by 0.8
3397
#30
7.90.4
7.57.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.4