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Quarterfinal 4-32022 St. Louis Regional
Red49
425626.8
418715.8
51768.6
Blue56
639118.3
432930.4
615712.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53680204060801001201404956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#11
26.80.1
26.9→26.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End12.4
blue by 3.6
4329
#8
30.40.1
30.6→30.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Second
4187
#5
15.80.1
15.8→15.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End6.1
blue by 2.6
6391
#14
18.30.1
18.5→18.4
Auto9.2
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Third
5176
#37
8.60.1
8.6→8.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
blue by 3.8
6157
#25
12.40.1
12.5→12.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3