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Red88
178127.2
77475.0
173632.5
Blue82
49318.7
175650.6
117815.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597102040801001201408882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.8
22.624.4
Auto9.1
Teleop20.4
End3.1
blue by 18.1
50.61.1
44.245.4
Auto12.6
Teleop30.2
End7.8
Second
27.21.8
24.826.6
Auto6.1
Teleop14.4
End6.7
red by 12.0
1178
#19
15.21.9
10.612.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End5.0
Third
7747
#33
5.03.0
9.712.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 3.7
4931
#26
8.71.9
10.112.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned52%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned