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Red85
432930.4
132910.3
379225.1
Blue15
29788.6
51768.6
55837.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5823040801008515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.42.1
20.522.5
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End4.6
red by 21.9
2978
#12
8.61.3
7.46.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End2.7
Second
3792
#13
25.12.1
23.325.4
Auto7.1
Teleop7.1
End10.9
red by 16.6
5176
#37
8.61.3
11.510.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Third
1329
#22
10.33.4
6.29.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.4
red by 2.5
5583
#20
7.81.3
7.56.2
Auto0.0
Teleop5.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed