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Red63
425626.8
418715.8
12889.3
Blue57
432930.4
806912.6
29788.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56472040801006357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#11
26.80.8
24.225.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End12.4
blue by 3.6
30.40.8
26.227.0
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Second
15.80.8
16.717.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End6.1
red by 3.2
8069
#15
12.61.2
9.710.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End4.3
Third
1288
#28
9.31.2
10.311.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End1.6
red by 0.7
2978
#12
8.61.2
9.610.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned56%Hangar oddsMissed