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Red141
175650.6
170643.1
450023.2
Blue75
248146.8
87194.9
132910.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13245010015014175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.61.3
48.249.6
Auto12.6
Teleop30.2
End7.8
red by 3.8
46.81.2
44.145.2
Auto10.1
Teleop25.5
End11.1
Second
43.11.3
41.242.6
Auto11.4
Teleop25.8
End5.9
red by 32.8
1329
#22
10.31.8
7.08.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Third
4500
#10
23.21.3
23.424.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End4.7
red by 18.3
8719
#32
4.91.7
2.74.4
Auto3.0
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed