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Red73
248146.8
414336.5
33977.9
Blue58
639118.3
432930.4
615712.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102602040801201401607358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.5
46.546.0
Auto10.1
Teleop25.5
End11.1
red by 16.4
30.40.1
30.530.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End4.6
Second
36.50.5
36.235.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.1
End11.6
red by 18.2
6391
#14
18.30.1
18.418.3
Auto9.2
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Third
3397
#30
7.90.5
7.67.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.6
End2.4
blue by 4.5
6157
#25
12.40.1
12.512.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3