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Red123
259042.4
589551.6
192328.9
Blue112
10333.6
201629.9
70825.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142886080100120160180123112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.1
52.852.7
Auto16.3
Teleop27.1
End8.2
red by 18.1
103
#19
33.60.2
33.533.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End10.4
Second
42.40.1
43.543.4
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End11.3
red by 12.4
2016
#14
29.90.2
29.830.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End12.0
Third
1923
#42
28.90.1
30.030.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
red by 3.0
708
#22
25.90.2
25.826.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End8.6