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Red89
164035.4
180740.7
219114.7
Blue114
434234.1
314234.9
260731.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94113608010012014016018089114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.0
40.640.6
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End11.7
red by 5.7
34.90.1
35.535.6
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End8.8
Second
35.40.0
35.435.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End6.3
red by 1.3
4342
#11
34.10.1
35.235.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.8
End8.5
Third
2191
#54
14.70.0
14.714.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End4.0
blue by 17.2
2607
#28
31.90.1
33.033.1
Auto10.3
Teleop16.3
End5.3