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Red94
34138.1
249523.5
27229.3
Blue80
191432.6
22226.1
164035.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8210240601201401609480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#5
38.10.7
32.533.2
Auto10.0
Teleop17.2
End10.9
red by 2.7
35.41.1
34.933.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End6.3
Second
272
#39
29.30.7
24.925.6
Auto8.0
Teleop15.2
End6.1
blue by 3.3
1914
#16
32.61.1
32.231.1
Auto9.8
Teleop14.9
End7.9
Third
2495
#17
23.50.7
21.922.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End5.8
blue by 2.6
222
#37
26.11.1
25.824.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsMissed