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Red70
192328.9
7522.7
167630.6
Blue102
589551.6
164711.1
331429.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959460708010011012013014070102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#24
30.61.3
32.030.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
blue by 21.0
51.60.4
52.052.4
Auto16.3
Teleop27.1
End8.2
Second
1923
#42
28.91.3
33.231.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
blue by 0.1
3314
#26
29.00.4
28.128.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End11.0
Third
75
#29
22.71.3
23.922.7
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End5.2
red by 11.6
1647
#52
11.10.4
8.18.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned72%Hangar oddsEarned