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Red60
22226.1
465318.7
192328.9
Blue111
1129.1
180740.7
36529.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82111406010012014060111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#42
28.91.9
31.930.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
blue by 11.8
40.70.2
40.440.6
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End11.7
Second
222
#37
26.11.9
28.026.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End7.2
blue by 3.6
365
#7
29.60.2
30.330.4
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Third
4653
#51
18.71.9
20.618.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End1.5
blue by 10.4
11
#25
29.10.2
29.830.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsMissed86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsMissed88%Hangar oddsEarned