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Red111
201629.9
10220.5
259042.4
Blue75
162626.6
181113.8
434234.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008120406012014011175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.8
42.743.5
Auto10.9
Teleop20.1
End11.3
red by 8.2
4342
#11
34.10.2
35.435.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.8
End8.5
Second
2016
#14
29.90.8
29.129.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End12.0
red by 3.4
1626
#53
26.60.2
28.728.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End4.7
Third
102
#30
20.50.8
19.720.5
Auto7.7
Teleop7.6
End5.2
red by 6.6
1811
#50
13.80.2
14.113.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned76%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsEarned