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Red56
116822.5
741420.1
249523.5
Blue48
192328.9
162626.6
54079.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5677401001205648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#17
23.50.0
22.622.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End5.8
blue by 5.4
1923
#42
28.92.0
29.527.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
Second
1168
#33
22.50.0
16.616.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End4.0
blue by 4.1
1626
#53
26.62.0
29.027.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End4.7
Third
7414
#38
20.10.0
16.016.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End6.6
red by 10.6
5407
#57
9.62.0
11.29.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsMissed