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Red122
108933.1
589551.6
518120.1
Blue98
4137.1
437331.5
260731.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9695809010011012012298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.7
46.548.1
Auto16.3
Teleop27.1
End8.2
red by 14.6
41
#20
37.10.3
34.534.8
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.5
Second
1089
#10
33.11.7
26.327.9
Auto11.5
Teleop18.0
End3.6
red by 1.2
2607
#28
31.90.3
27.027.3
Auto10.3
Teleop16.3
End5.3
Third
5181
#45
20.11.7
16.318.0
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End11.2
blue by 11.5
4373
#21
31.50.3
28.528.8
Auto7.2
Teleop16.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsEarned