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Red46
573224.3
48620.4
54079.6
Blue87
434234.1
116822.5
192328.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458602060801001204687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5732
#46
24.30.1
23.123.0
Auto6.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
blue by 9.8
4342
#11
34.10.8
31.432.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.8
End8.5
Second
486
#43
20.40.1
14.814.8
Auto7.3
Teleop5.6
End7.5
blue by 8.5
1923
#42
28.90.8
27.528.3
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
Third
5407
#57
9.60.1
9.29.1
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 12.9
1168
#33
22.50.8
16.717.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsMissed81%Hangar oddsEarned