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Red72
125719.0
5621.7
139129.9
Blue51
704527.3
518120.1
167211.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815720401001207251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#12
29.90.1
31.731.7
Auto10.9
Teleop8.8
End10.3
red by 2.6
7045
#36
27.30.3
21.621.2
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End13.8
Second
56
#18
21.70.1
23.223.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End10.4
red by 1.6
5181
#45
20.10.3
18.017.7
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End11.2
Third
1257
#34
19.00.1
17.917.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End5.1
red by 7.3
1672
#59
11.70.3
16.616.2
Auto4.8
Teleop1.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned