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Red96
4137.1
465318.7
83427.9
Blue113
167630.6
434234.1
20324.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8488406010012014096113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#20
37.10.6
34.535.1
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.5
red by 3.0
4342
#11
34.11.8
33.034.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.8
End8.5
Second
834
#47
27.90.6
26.527.1
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End7.6
blue by 2.7
1676
#24
30.61.8
27.229.0
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
Third
4653
#51
18.70.6
18.018.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End1.5
blue by 5.6
203
#41
24.31.8
22.023.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned