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Red62
22226.1
632715.1
54079.6
Blue65
167211.7
437331.5
257721.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49660204060801006265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#37
26.10.9
23.224.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End7.2
blue by 5.5
4373
#21
31.50.1
28.628.7
Auto7.2
Teleop16.6
End7.8
Second
6327
#60
15.10.9
15.216.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End4.5
blue by 6.2
2577
#31
21.30.1
17.117.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Third
5407
#57
9.60.9
9.510.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 2.1
1672
#59
11.70.1
14.014.1
Auto4.8
Teleop1.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned