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Red54
7522.7
314234.9
219114.7
Blue77
43317.2
167211.7
139129.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65700501001505477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.5
27.927.3
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End8.8
red by 5.0
1391
#12
29.90.3
32.032.3
Auto10.9
Teleop8.8
End10.3
Second
75
#29
22.70.5
20.720.2
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End5.2
red by 5.5
433
#55
17.20.3
17.517.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End6.6
Third
2191
#54
14.70.5
13.312.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End4.0
red by 3.0
1672
#59
11.70.3
15.215.5
Auto4.8
Teleop1.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed70%Hangar oddsEarned