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Red141
31637.6
22323.4
589551.6
Blue48
363721.2
434234.1
43317.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127040608010012014016014148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.62.8
50.353.0
Auto16.3
Teleop27.1
End8.2
red by 17.5
4342
#11
34.11.6
34.833.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.8
End8.5
Second
316
#4
37.62.8
28.231.0
Auto8.0
Teleop16.1
End13.5
red by 16.4
3637
#35
21.21.6
17.716.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End8.8
Third
223
#49
23.42.8
21.123.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End5.5
red by 6.1
433
#55
17.21.6
18.917.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsMissed