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Red86
192328.9
48620.4
83427.9
Blue102
218023.2
260731.9
48431.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77735060809010011086102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#42
28.90.4
29.129.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End5.8
blue by 3.0
2607
#28
31.92.0
25.627.5
Auto10.3
Teleop16.3
End5.3
Second
834
#47
27.90.4
27.427.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End7.6
blue by 3.3
484
#27
31.22.0
25.227.1
Auto8.2
Teleop16.7
End6.3
Third
486
#43
20.40.4
14.915.3
Auto7.3
Teleop5.6
End7.5
blue by 2.8
2180
#40
23.22.0
17.919.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned63%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsEarned