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Red51
632715.1
48431.2
125719.0
Blue75
851313.1
191432.6
116822.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions756440801005175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#27
31.21.7
31.930.1
Auto8.2
Teleop16.7
End6.3
blue by 1.4
1914
#16
32.60.1
30.430.5
Auto9.8
Teleop14.9
End7.9
Second
1257
#34
19.01.7
21.319.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.4
End5.1
blue by 3.5
1168
#33
22.50.1
19.819.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End4.0
Third
6327
#60
15.11.7
16.014.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End4.5
red by 2.0
8513
#48
13.10.1
11.211.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsMissed90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsMissed