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Red114
167630.6
1129.1
4137.1
Blue85
181113.8
331429.0
314234.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10379406012014011485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#20
37.11.3
35.036.3
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.5
red by 2.1
34.90.3
32.332.1
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End8.8
Second
1676
#24
30.61.3
29.931.2
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
red by 1.6
3314
#26
29.00.3
27.627.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End11.0
Third
11
#25
29.11.3
29.030.3
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End10.0
red by 15.3
1811
#50
13.80.3
17.116.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned77%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned