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Red93
83427.9
437331.5
363721.2
Blue96
139129.9
21919.4
180740.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610040601209396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4373
#21
31.51.0
30.031.0
Auto7.2
Teleop16.6
End7.8
blue by 9.1
40.70.3
39.840.2
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End11.7
Second
834
#47
27.91.0
29.130.1
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End7.6
blue by 2.0
1391
#12
29.90.3
31.531.8
Auto10.9
Teleop8.8
End10.3
Third
3637
#35
21.21.0
15.516.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End8.8
red by 1.8
219
#44
19.40.3
19.619.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned68%Hangar oddsEarned