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Red99
54079.6
4137.1
704527.3
Blue93
218023.2
573224.3
363721.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7661401001209993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#20
37.11.7
36.338.0
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.5
red by 12.8
5732
#46
24.32.0
21.723.7
Auto6.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
Second
7045
#36
27.31.7
24.426.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End13.8
red by 4.1
2180
#40
23.22.0
20.922.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.6
Third
5407
#57
9.61.7
8.910.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 11.6
3637
#35
21.22.0
16.518.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
57%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsEarned