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Red45
971B27.8
415912.4
29911.4
Blue42
5940B18.4
581724.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50492030406070804542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971B
#18
27.80.2
25.425.5
Auto13.3
Teleop9.1
End5.4
red by 3.2
5817
#13
24.60.5
21.721.1
Auto8.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
Second
4159
#22
12.40.1
9.29.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 5.9
18.40.9
27.226.3
Auto7.4
Teleop6.9
End4.0
Third
299
#7
11.40.1
8.78.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End3.8
red by 7.7
3.70.9
1.00.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsMissed