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Red45
299B13.7
1323B24.9
5419B13.2
Blue121
2073B13.7
510433.7
973B46.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4595015020045121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.9
26.725.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End5.9
blue by 21.2
46.12.3
38.640.9
Auto8.2
Teleop37.4
End0.6
Second
299B
#34
13.70.9
12.311.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 20.0
33.72.3
32.534.8
Auto10.8
Teleop15.1
End7.8
Third
13.20.5
9.79.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End5.6
blue by 0.5
13.72.3
11.513.8
Auto8.9
Teleop4.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed