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Red123
510433.7
46989.9
167877.6
Blue83
11453.5
58121.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14158010020025012383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.60.5
76.375.9
Auto19.5
Teleop45.0
End13.1
red by 24.0
114
#3
53.51.2
44.946.1
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End12.7
Second
33.70.5
36.235.7
Auto10.8
Teleop15.1
End7.8
red by 12.2
581
#25
21.51.6
12.514.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End3.7
Third
4698
#20
9.90.6
9.48.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End3.5
red by 4.1
5.94.0
5.99.8
Auto4.1
Teleop-1.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned43%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned