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Red82
84118.7
167131.7
1323C27.4
Blue121
167877.6
741921.3
11482.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810205015020082121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#17
31.70.4
32.932.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.6
End7.1
blue by 45.8
77.61.9
74.176.0
Auto19.5
Teleop45.0
End13.1
Second
27.40.7
28.227.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End4.4
red by 6.1
7419
#23
21.31.9
20.522.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End7.3
Third
841
#15
18.70.4
15.414.9
Auto8.4
Teleop7.7
End2.7
red by 16.7
1148
#35
2.03.1
-1.81.4
Auto1.2
Teleop-1.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsEarned