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Red149
132372.0
581724.6
397034.1
Blue79
97150.7
971C13.3
385921.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1377605010015020025014979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.01.6
68.169.7
Auto17.5
Teleop41.2
End13.2
red by 21.3
971
#5
50.70.0
49.249.1
Auto17.0
Teleop26.6
End7.1
Second
34.11.6
31.833.4
Auto5.9
Teleop18.4
End9.8
red by 12.7
3859
#26
21.40.0
15.815.8
Auto7.1
Teleop8.5
End5.8
Third
5817
#13
24.61.6
21.122.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
red by 11.2
971C
#38
13.30.0
14.214.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned50%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsMissed