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Red121
541919.4
167877.6
581724.6
Blue91
213536.5
502623.9
594048.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011405010015020025012191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.60.2
77.176.9
Auto19.5
Teleop45.0
End13.1
red by 29.0
5940
#10
48.51.2
52.451.2
Auto15.5
Teleop27.5
End5.5
Second
5817
#13
24.60.2
22.722.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
blue by 12.0
2135
#11
36.51.2
35.634.4
Auto13.1
Teleop9.3
End14.1
Third
5419
#29
19.40.2
20.119.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 4.5
5026
#27
23.91.2
21.019.8
Auto7.7
Teleop7.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned56%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsMissed