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Red76
1678E18.6
11453.5
5419B13.2
Blue60
541919.4
135125.6
971B27.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87832040601001201401607660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#3
53.50.3
51.150.7
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End12.7
red by 25.8
971B
#18
27.81.9
29.627.7
Auto13.3
Teleop9.1
End5.4
Second
18.60.5
19.218.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End4.4
blue by 6.9
25.61.2
27.125.9
Auto11.2
Teleop9.5
End4.9
Third
13.20.3
10.910.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End5.6
blue by 6.2
5419
#29
19.41.2
21.420.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned56%Hangar oddsMissed