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Red85
58121.5
299B13.7
97344.6
Blue97
132372.0
425520.2
11482.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801030501502008597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#14
44.60.5
44.044.5
Auto14.6
Teleop23.4
End6.7
blue by 27.3
72.00.2
72.172.3
Auto17.5
Teleop41.2
End13.2
Second
581
#25
21.50.5
20.921.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 1.3
4255
#24
20.20.2
20.020.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End7.4
Third
299B
#34
13.70.7
13.013.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 11.7
1148
#35
2.00.3
1.72.0
Auto1.2
Teleop-1.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsEarned81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned