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Red70
971B27.8
973C13.4
Blue68
1323C27.4
97344.6
415912.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4610901502002507068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971B
#18
27.82.8
27.825.0
Auto13.3
Teleop9.1
End5.4
blue by 16.9
973
#14
44.62.0
50.648.6
Auto14.6
Teleop23.4
End6.7
Second
973C
#40
13.413.6
13.427.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.9
blue by 14.0
27.41.6
27.429.0
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Third
9.91.3
2.53.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.8
blue by 2.5
4159
#22
12.42.0
11.69.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed82%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsMissed