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Semifinal 2-12022 Madtown Throwdown
Red144
11453.5
5419B13.2
973B46.1
Blue125
97150.7
594048.5
541919.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109132050150200250300350144125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#3
53.50.7
51.0→51.7
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End12.7
red by 2.9
971
#5
50.70.1
51.6→51.5
Auto17.0
Teleop26.6
End7.1
Second
973B
#4
46.10.7
43.6→44.3
Auto8.2
Teleop37.4
End0.6
blue by 2.5
5940
#10
48.50.1
49.5→49.4
Auto15.5
Teleop27.5
End5.5
Third
5419B
#31
13.20.7
10.7→11.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End5.6
blue by 6.2
5419
#29
19.40.1
20.3→20.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.7
End2.7